Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 222.227691 267.907896 325.070841 403.598050 511.597956 659.685692 8.874018e+02
2025-02-02 182.636502 242.366233 328.885697 471.172737 717.648160 1172.477438 2.231598e+03
2025-02-09 148.522853 207.225016 299.272860 467.478809 805.752111 1583.405421 4.228298e+03
2025-02-16 128.727994 186.688025 283.453814 476.506175 920.286712 2192.046810 9.141198e+03
2025-02-23 115.119965 172.351998 273.070404 490.102126 1055.663090 3099.699322 2.490678e+04
2025-03-02 105.420115 162.328397 267.334239 510.511834 1228.616285 4602.863554 1.243033e+05
2025-03-09 96.140578 151.244946 256.718772 515.493921 1365.334049 6515.711028 3.256155e+06
2025-03-16 86.340127 137.664397 238.213494 494.341675 1398.586225 8053.467604 NaN
2025-03-23 81.541520 132.657347 236.388026 516.486900 1629.161212 13420.558041 NaN
2025-03-30 73.789850 120.983495 218.078755 486.420131 1605.953200 15721.672138 NaN
2025-04-06 69.662357 115.882007 213.454604 495.342509 1791.413394 26088.911050 NaN
2025-04-13 65.448629 110.103486 206.294057 494.222855 1930.267923 42279.271738 NaN
2025-04-20 64.381454 111.195834 216.980080 562.348669 2697.366708 340418.873584 NaN
2025-04-27 64.384567 114.661254 234.916265 672.563687 4348.125633 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 59.970314 107.892695 224.735727 666.457552 4848.152796 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 56.768937 103.403226 219.807069 681.341546 5813.505594 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 54.125059 99.832169 216.700359 703.873220 7218.897063 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 52.011995 97.213194 215.790257 737.956814 9472.309649 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 49.492853 93.343522 210.424830 746.323739 11415.216233 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 46.296298 87.547098 198.262744 710.927565 11496.640214 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 44.857805 85.836724 198.423333 747.993541 15929.827222 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 41.901041 80.163702 185.248137 697.757548 14788.891121 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 40.376658 77.879325 182.560721 712.594851 18824.878995 NaN NaN